I saw the characteristics of the plate, which made me lose confidence in the height of the market, because if you look at the theme that has led the rise recently, you will find that the speculation in the market is getting more and more leftover.It also proves that the new incremental funds in the market are insufficient, and the market has the trend of stock game. This is why you can see that there are obviously about 1.7 trillion transactions, but the market is stagnant. The low volatility of individual stocks proves that this position is actually in jeopardy.There are more and more things that don't flow in, and the market is trying to dig out everything that hasn't been dug up. So if there is no main line in a market, there are no hot spots before, and new themes are still being dug up, and the turnover is still shrinking, then what will wait for the market when all the things that can be dug up in this market are dug up? It is self-evident.
I saw the characteristics of the plate, which made me lose confidence in the height of the market, because if you look at the theme that has led the rise recently, you will find that the speculation in the market is getting more and more leftover.The driving force of the market comes from some messy small-cap themes such as robots, supply and marketing cooperatives, retail and AI applications every day, but we can't see the effective rotation of several mainstream sectors such as military industry, new energy, liquor, medicine, semiconductors and automobiles, which proves that the capital nature of the market is speculation, not value investment.But! Have you thought about it? How long can this market, which is supported by this news, last? What news will there be next time? If there is no news stimulus, what can we do in the second half of December to counter various delivery dates and the effect of insufficient liquidity at the end of the year? How did you get there from the end of December 2023 to the beginning of the second year? Did many people forget it long ago?
I see these three waves, that is, when the funds have finished a band, they give up the previous top funds, and there is no idea at all to say that they want to release the high chips in the previous period. That is to say, the market is constantly exploring new hot spots, but it is determined not to save the previous top funds.First of all, let's make my point clear. I think it's very normal to have a big rise tomorrow as long as it's not above 3500 points with the help of good news! But what I want to say is not tomorrow, but the point of view of the day after tomorrow and the next plate.There are more and more things that don't flow in, and the market is trying to dig out everything that hasn't been dug up. So if there is no main line in a market, there are no hot spots before, and new themes are still being dug up, and the turnover is still shrinking, then what will wait for the market when all the things that can be dug up in this market are dug up? It is self-evident.